Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Despite the arrival of La Niña, it is increasingly likely that 2024 will be the hottest year since the pre-industrial period. And with other “oddities” like rain in the Sahara Desert.

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At the moment is Wednesday, 4 September 2024.

They might sign the transition to La Niña, which – versus El Niño – is related to the cooling of the Pacific Ocean off the west coast of South America, close to Ecuador and Peru, resulting in different impacts on the ambiance and international local weather.

Based on the Copernicus bulletin:

– ambiance: July 2024 marks the tip of a 13-month interval through which every month was on common the most popular within the knowledge file for the respective month of the yr. However, it was the month when the Earth skilled its two hottest days on file, with the each day international common reaching 17.16°C and 17.15°C on the twenty second and twenty third of July.

– oceans: the Equatorial Pacific (60°S–60°N) skilled below-average temperatures, after a 15-year sequence of will increase, with a floor temperature of 20.88°C, the second highest worth ever recorded for the month, and simply 0.01°C beneath July 2023.

Regardless of this mildly encouraging information, air temperatures over the ocean stay exceptionally excessive in lots of areas. July 2024 was 1.48°C above the estimated July common for 1850-1900, the designated pre-industrial reference interval, and it’s more and more seemingly that 2024 would be the hottest yr on file.

The local weather will proceed to fluctuate between extremes due to the additional warmth and humidity within the ambiance, because the period and depth of La Niña remains to be unsure.

Click on on the picture beneath for WMO’s “Global Seasonal Climate Update for September-October-November 2024”, which incorporates necessary updates on rainfall forecasts across the World.

“In Africa, between around 10º and 25º N and east of 0º, there is a greater probability of above-normal precipitation” is a phrase that catches consideration. These coordinates point out proximity to the Sahara, the biggest sizzling desert within the World.

Additionally they point out that this month of September is anticipated distinctive rain within the Sahara desert. Sure, rain within the desert.

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