Tuesday, October 29, 2024.
Yet one more Emissions Hole Report and United Nations Setting Programme (UNEP) printed final week, October twenty fourth.
This time titled “Emissions gap report 2024: No more hot air… please!”, concerning the “huge gap between countries’ rhetoric and reality”.
As local weather impacts intensify globally, nations should ship stronger ambitions and actions within the subsequent spherical of Nationally Decided Contributions (NDC) inside months.
Maybe one of many important targets of this 2024 version of the report is to “name and shame” (i.e. publicly point out) which nations could be least or most probably to realize their NDCs. And likewise level the finger on the G20 nations.
In keeping with the manager abstract, “GHG emissions among G20 members also increased in 2023 and accounted for 77 percent of global emissions. If all African Union countries are added to the G20 total, more than doubling the number of countries from 44 to 99, total emissions will increase by just 5 percentage points to 82 percent. The six largest GHG emitters were responsible for 63 percent of global GHG emissions. In contrast, less developed countries represented just 3 percent.”
The report warns that international greenhouse gasoline emissions in 2023 have been 1.3 % larger than 2022 ranges, setting a brand new document of 57.1 GtCO2e (tonne of carbon dioxide equal), of which:
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26% or 15.1 GtCO2e from the power sector (i.e. electrical energy manufacturing);
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15% or 8.4 GtCO2e the transport sector;
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i11% or 6.5 GtCO2e for trade;
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11% or 6.5 GtCO2e agriculture;
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10% gas manufacturing (i.e. oil, gasoline, stable fuels);
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9% industrial processes for the manufacturing of cement, chemical merchandise and metals;
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7% change in land use and forestry (LULUCF);
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6% buildings; and
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4% stable and liquid waste.
“The magnitude of the challenge is indisputable. At the same time, there are abundant opportunities to accelerate mitigation actions… Technological developments, particularly in wind and solar energy, continue to exceed expectations… The updated assessment of sectoral emissions reduction potentials included in this year’s report shows that reduction Potential technical-economic emissions based on existing technologies and at costs below $200 per tCO2e remains sufficient to address the emissions of 2030 and 2035. But this will require overcoming significant political, governance, institutional and technical barriers, as well as an unprecedented increase in support provided to developing countries, along with a reshaping of the international financial architecture.”
At this $200/tCO2e value stage, the report lists 41 GtCO2e (adjusted for some overlaps) because the annual mitigation potential till 2035, damaged down by sector:
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14.7 GtCO2e in Power;
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12.8 GtCO2e in agriculture, forestry and different land makes use of (AFOLU);
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6.6 GtCO2e per Indústria;
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4.8 GtCO2e in Transport;
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4.2 GtCO2e in Buildings; and
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2.4 GtCO2 and others.
With AFOLU in potential 2nd place, would it not imply that nature-related options are seen by the physique of scientists behind this report as extra urgently related than technological mitigation itself, by sectors comparable to trade and transport, for instance? It appears so.
The report is the fifteenth version in a collection that brings collectively lots of the world’s main local weather scientists to investigate future tendencies in greenhouse gasoline emissions and supply potential options to the problem of worldwide warming.
Click on on the picture beneath to entry the latter Emissions Hole Report on the UNEP portal, together with the complete 100-page report.
