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Lately, there was a big fireplace at a utility-scale battery storage set up in California. Somewhat than rehash that story, I’ll simply level you to Steve’s article on that when you haven’t heard about it. As you may in all probability predict, a big battery fireplace was seized upon by anti-renewable propagandists, who handled it like they deal with EV battery fires.
Worse, public officers responded with elevated skepticism of future battery storage tasks, whereas knowledgable individuals each defended the know-how and identified that it has improved drastically (particularly with LiFePO4, or LFP, batteries). Early battery storage techniques, which can nonetheless be in service for years or many years, are merely extra weak to thermal runaway and fireplace than these constructed with newer battery cells are.
Within the rush to defend battery storage know-how, many people have missed one thing much more vital: context. We’ve forgotten that the sluggish march of routine loss of life can rack up a toll that makes occasions like this battery fireplace seem like nothing, however provided that you’re paying consideration.
As an instance my level, let’s first have a look at airplane crashes. When a industrial airliner crashes, it may possibly usually result in lots of of individuals dying all of sudden. With regards to journalism and social media, “if it bleeds, it leads.” The King Kong of airplane crashes was 9/11, the place as an alternative of some hundred dying, 1000’s died.
After the 9/11 assaults, thousands more needlessly diedprobably doubling the loss of life toll. However you didn’t hear about this on the information as a result of just a few died at a time over the course of months. As an alternative of taking the airplane, many individuals felt safer taking highway journeys, ensuing within the airways needing authorities bailouts. Whilst you’re nonetheless most unlikely to die, you usually tend to die driving than you’re driving in a airplane.
Our tendency to take a look at essentially the most notable and sensational occasions after which be emotionally affected by them can result in epic failures in threat evaluation. It’s one thing all of us do, myself included.
Going again to the battery fireplace in California, the lacking context that will get misplaced within the boundless bitter sea of emotion is the routine loss of life toll from burning fossil fuels. Bronchial asthma, COPD, most cancers, local weather change, monetary stress, and plenty of different unwell unwanted effects of burning issues for vitality can all kill you. It’s not very prone to kill you personally, so if you see an enormous fireplace in California proper after one other fireplace killed individuals, it’s straightforward to fall into the lure of considering that clear applied sciences are the larger threat.
The danger we run is doing what vacationers did after 9/11. If we halt new battery storage tasks, we cut back the danger of enormous fires, however this comes at the price of killing 1000’s of individuals per 12 months who may need in any other case been saved by shutting a few of the energy crops down. Worse, if we shut down present battery storage tasks, we waste the funding that went into them whereas consigning individuals to die who had been already going to be saved by the comparatively small threat of a battery fireplace.
It’s arduous to get individuals to consider these routine deaths as a result of it’s uncomfortable, however we have to bear in mind and apply that reminiscence to our selections.
Featured picture by Jennifer Sensiba.
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