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Within the loopy world of hydrogen for transportation performs, some endeavors stand out. Ballard’s $1.3 billion in losses, $55 million a yr, since 2000 with no earnings ever is one. The $1.2 billion that California acquired as a hydrogen hub which goes to go down the drain as a result of it’s being spent on transportation as a substitute of fertilizer is one other.
After which there’s Hype, Europe’s hydrogen-only taxi app firm. It’s managed to safe €55 million in European grantson a claimed fund elevating of €105 million (or possibly €145 as there may be some debt financing in there too). Sure, Europe is throwing extra money at this hydrogen-powered Uber competitor than non-public traders are.
It’s comprehensible that personal traders in France would have ponied up some euros again in 2015 when it was launched throughout COP21. Journey hailing apps have been all the fashion in Silicon Valley and elsewhere. Uber and Lyft have been going toe to toe. There was — and is — lots of room for individuals to choose off slices of the trip share pie in several markets. Uber remains the giantwith a full 25% of the worldwide market, trailed by Lyft with 8% and plenty and plenty of smaller, principally regional options like DiDi Rider, Gojek and Ola. And in 2015, hydrogen — regardless of a 15 yr historical past of failed hydrogen fleet pilots — was thought of a go to decarbonization answer.
France is a rustic that actually likes to have its personal flavors of issues. Relating to wine and cheese, it’s exhausting to argue with their style. Whereas I used to be trying on the European aviation funding ecosystem a few years in the past, it was clear that in addition they had a robust concentrate on funding native aviation corporations, ones whose founders spoke fluent French, whatever the high quality of the know-how or enterprise fashions they have been pitching.
And so, a French trip hailing app agency. However the Hy in Hype is the foie gras on the baguette, elevating it above different, extra wise French trip sharing choices like LeCab, G7 Taxi, Chauffeur Prive and sure, Uber. And once I say elevating, I imply elevated prices. With the price of making hydrogen, distributing hydrogen, pumping hydrogen and sustaining flakey hydrogen fleets, you may as nicely be working them on champagne.
The unique investor cash and grants has been used to place tons of of Toyota Mirais and 50 hydrogen wheelchair vans on the streets of Paris, and preserve the charges it fees passengers aggressive with corporations which can be placing low cost electrons into Teslas or gasoline into Renaults. A brand new funding of €15 million from VINCI Concessions goes circulation again to VINCI to construct hydrogen electrolysis and refueling stations, so it appears a bit round in an odd, questionable accounting form of method.
There’s one other enjoyable parallel to Ballard. That firm began out in lithium ion batteries earlier than pivoting to gas cells, choosing the dropping facet. So did Hype. Initially, it was STEP, Société du Taxi Électrique Parisien, based in 2009, and the Électrique is a clue. Sure, it was an electrical taxi agency that wasn’t doing very nicely, so rebranded to Hype and pivoted to using the European hydrogen hype wave. Presumably that’s as a result of the founder, Mathieu Gardies, realized that grants for hydrogen have been a lot larger than for battery electrical as a result of the prices have been a lot larger, and so he might have larger numbers in company financial institution accounts and appear extra profitable.
However that was 2015. Why in April of 2023 was it given one other €18 million euros to broaden to seven different European cities, Le Mans, Bordeaux, Brussels, Madrid, Barcelona, Lisbon, and Porto? As with California, bureaucracies and packages which give away cash have sprung up and once they have cash of their financial institution accounts for hydrogen transportation, they’ve to offer it to somebody. Hype is considered one of a number of corporations on the entrance of the road providing to assist with that odd downside.
As I noted a month agothe EU has spent about €1.2 billion on grants to hydrogen for transportation schemes since 2008 and has just about nothing to indicate for it. Hype Taxi is clearly nicely conscious that the hydrogen funding system within the EU doesn’t require outcomes that make any sense and actually is in search of any excellent news in any respect. By the requirements of the area, Hype truly has vehicles on the roads of Paris delivering passengers at a closely backed therefore artificially aggressive value.
Once I say nothing to indicate for the cash, I actually do imply that. That they had very low-ball quantitative targets for common distance pushed between failures — a lot decrease than inside combustion automobiles — and failed to realize them, averaging solely 785 kilometers for one set of fleets earlier than requiring fixing, whereas battery electrical fleets are a lot decrease upkeep than diesel automobiles. That they had a goal of €5 per kilogram hydrogen, and it’s working €15 and up within the EU. That they had a goal of extremely quick 20 month warranties for hydrogen gas cell buses, and just some fleets managed to get that from producers, whereas 5 and eight yr full warranties with all repairs are widespread on the battery electrical facet. That they had a goal of decrease than an extremely costly €850,000 per bus and a few fleets managed to realize that whereas battery electrical buses are below €500,000. Gas cell sturdiness outcomes out of the IMMORTAL program managing to realize 1 / 4 of the goal.
Then there are the targets the place there’s simply no quantification after nicely over a few years of packages. Hydrogen refueling station uptime of 99% — extremely unlikely given California’s printed outcomes the place stations are being fastened 20% extra hours than they’re pumping hydrogen — has zero reported knowledge. Sixteen freight vehicles and 4 refueling stations for €32 million, when €12 million would purchase equal vehicles and megawatt chargers. Freight truck imply distances between failure of a paltry 2,500 km, maybe three days driving, once more with no reported outcomes. One key program, H2ME, the place the outcomes and evaluation web page is populated with internet placeholder customary, LOREM IPSUM DOLOR SIT AMET. The JIVE bus program delivering zero quantitative outcomes regardless of being in operation for 7 years.
And so forth, and many others, and many others.
On this context of abject failure and 0 outcomes, European hydrogen bureaucrats should love Hype, no matter whether or not the basics make any sense in any respect. In any case, it has Hype emblazoned on tons of of automobiles in tourist-magnet Paris. A lot of the different cities on the growth checklist are additionally excessive tourism and therefore excessive visibility cities. After which there’s Brussels, residence of Europe’s bureaucrats, the place hydrogen taxis pays with institutional credibility throughout funding cycles. No shock it’s on the checklist for a money-wasting growth.
So, they’ve acquired €18 million euros for the growth, taking new stagings of the Odyssey of the Hydrogen Fleet to a number of extra European cities. What’s that supposed to purchase? 18 refuelling stations and three electrolysers in these new areas. Presumably lots of filth low cost Toyota Mirais as nicely.
Grime low cost? Sure, presently Toyota is discounting the €63,900 manufacture advised retail value together with worth added tax by round €38,000. Sure, a 63% low cost as a result of nobody desires the issues. Nice for a fleet dedicated to them, I suppose, if it weren’t for the very excessive value of every little thing else. Oh, wait, that’s what taxpayers’ cash is for.
Let’s take into account a magical different world the place the Tesla Mannequin 3 base mannequin truly existed, was obtainable in Europe and had 513 km of vary. On this magical world, the Tesla Mannequin 3 prices €42,990 per automobile. This fantasy different Europe has Tesla Superchargers and high-speed charging from a number of different distributors obtainable in all places, about 82,000 of them. And high-speed depot charging for fleets can also be a part of this moon mud fantasy scape, and it’s low cost.
European taxis common about 200 kilometers a day and this fictitious Mannequin 3 might choose up 320 kilometers of vary in quarter-hour of charging at a Supercharger. Oh, on this different world’s situation, Superchargers and equivalents from different corporations value 10% of what hydrogen refueling stations value, and simply sit there and work, in contrast to hydrogen stations the place the compressors fail continually and expensively.
I do know, it’s utopian, however what number of Tesla Mannequin 3 taxis may very well be working way more cheaply with €18 million? In all probability 400 of them together with quick chargers at depots. If solely that have been potential.
Within the ‘real’ world of Hype and Europe’s hydrogen funding bureaucrats, the flushing sound as they commit extra to hydrogen is a method, from taxpayers’ wallets into Hype’s financial institution accounts. And when the flush cycle inevitably ends, Hype will disappear. I’m fairly positive that Mathieu Gardies’ financial institution accounts gained’t disappear with it.
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